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Prospect analysisArchived

Pigeon Forge Creekfront Cabin Retreat

Asking$1,299,000

Pigeon Forge, TN

Pigeon Forge · 8 bd · 8 ba · 4,028 sq ft · Built 2004

Underwritten as a short-term rental

8-bedroom, 8-bathroom creek-front cabin in Pigeon Forge with proven STR income and high cash-on-cash return potential.

This large, purpose-built cabin offers immediate income via established resort management and is positioned for group bookings in a high-demand Smoky Mountains market. Underwriting metrics indicate strong projected cash flow and a 31.3% cash-on-cash return, though performance is sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions.

Est. ADR
$938
Est. occupancy
62%
Gross rev / mo
$17,689
Cash-on-cash
31.3%

Airfolio market estimates · 20% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This property is a rare, large-capacity short-term rental asset in the heart of Pigeon Forge, designed to capture group and family bookings—a key demand segment in this market. Its established income history, resort management, and unique creek-front setting enhance its appeal and operational ease for investors seeking turnkey performance. The underwriting projects robust cash flow and a high cash-on-cash return, assuming continued strong occupancy and ADR. The primary caveat is that returns are highly sensitive to market conditions and the ability to sustain premium group rates, so ongoing demand and STR regulations should be closely monitored.

Highlights

  • 8 bedrooms and 8 bathrooms, accommodating large groups
  • 4,028 square feet on a nearly half-acre lot
  • Built in 2004 with modern group-friendly layout
  • Indoor swim spa with creek views
  • Game room and expansive dining/kitchen area
  • No steep roads and ample parking for guests
  • Currently managed by Venture Resorts for seamless transition
  • Minutes from Pigeon Forge and Gatlinburg attractions

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions; market shifts could impact performance
STR regulations and permitting should be verified for ongoing operation
Higher-end, large-capacity inventory may face a smaller resale buyer pool
Ongoing maintenance and turnover costs may be elevated due to property size and amenity set
Competition from newer or similarly sized cabins could pressure pricing

Market

Pigeon Forge, TN is a well-established short-term rental market, particularly for large cabins catering to family and group travel in the Smoky Mountains. The area benefits from strong tourism demand, but performance is subject to seasonal swings and competitive supply. This property’s size and amenity set position it well for the group rental segment, though ongoing monitoring of market trends and regulatory environment is advised.

Neighborhood

The property is situated on Caney Creek, offering a rare waterfront setting with easy access and no steep roads, which enhances guest appeal for families and groups. Proximity to downtown Pigeon Forge and Gatlinburg attractions supports strong rental demand. While detailed neighborhood-level demand signals are limited, the location and property type are consistent with high-performing STR assets in this region.

Underwriting notes

At a $1,299,000 purchase price, underwriting projects a monthly expected income of $17,689 and cash flow of $6,767, with a 31.3% cash-on-cash return based on a 20% down payment, 25% expense ratio, and 6.4% interest rate. These projections assume a $938 ADR and 62% occupancy, both of which are achievable but should be validated against current market trends. The high projected return is attractive, but investors should recognize that performance is highly sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions, and diligence should confirm the sustainability of these figures.

Value context

Airfolio est.
Modeled value
$1,299,000
Modeled range
$1,230,802–$1,367,198
Asking
$1,299,000
Asking sits within the modeled range.

Solid: value history · Dashed: 24-month projection with confidence band. Airfolio estimates, not appraisals.

As of Sep 17, 2026 · Modeled from record, listing, and market data. An estimate, not an appraisal.

Sales history

DateEventPrice
Jul 2021Sold$1,400,000
Oct 2020Sold$800,000
Aug 2016Sold$599,000
Aug 2004Sold$564,000

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Sep 17, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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