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Prospect analysisArchived

14038 Rosewood Ln

Asking$699,000

Clearlake · Clearlake, CA · 5 bd · 4 ba · 3,400 sq ft · Built 1970

Underwritten as a short-term rental

Lakefront Clearlake property with two attached apartments and strong short-term rental income projections.

This 5-bedroom, 4-bath, 3,400 sq ft home offers direct lake access, private dock, and flexible multi-unit layout, supporting both owner-occupancy and STR strategies. High-confidence underwriting projects robust cash flow and a compelling cash-on-cash return, though the price premium requires sustained rental performance.

Est. ADR
$505
Est. occupancy
58%
Gross rev / mo
$8,909
Cash-on-cash
27.3%

Airfolio market estimates · 20% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This property stands out as a rare lakefront offering in Clearlake with two attached apartments, enabling multi-unit rental or owner-plus-STR configurations. The combination of private waterfront access, panoramic views, and a large, flexible floor plan positions it well for premium nightly rates and year-round demand from vacationers. Underwriting metrics indicate high cash flow potential and a strong projected cash-on-cash return, making it attractive for investors seeking income and asset appreciation. The primary caveat is that the investment thesis relies on maintaining above-average occupancy and ADR, which should be validated against local STR regulations and market trends.

Highlights

  • Direct lakefront access with private dock
  • 5 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms, 3,400 sq ft
  • Two attached apartments for flexible rental strategies
  • Open-concept living areas with panoramic water and mountain views
  • Large lot (13,939 sq ft) with lakeside decks and patios
  • Projected monthly STR income of $8,909 and cash flow of $3,184
  • Estimated cash-on-cash return of 27.3% (high-confidence underwriting)
  • Listed at $699,000, above Zestimate but supported by income potential

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
STR regulations and permitting in Clearlake should be verified
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions
Older construction (1970) may require ongoing maintenance
Premium list price requires sustained rental performance to justify investment
Seasonal demand swings could impact income stability
Competition from other waterfront rentals may pressure pricing

Market

Clearlake, CA is a recognized destination for lakefront recreation, attracting both vacationers and second-home buyers. The property type—a large, multi-unit lakefront home—caters to group stays and families, aligning with STR demand patterns in the region. While the market supports premium pricing for waterfront access, investor returns will depend on the ability to capture consistent bookings and manage operational costs. The high-confidence underwriting metrics suggest strong income potential, but market volatility and regulatory factors should be monitored.

Neighborhood

The property is situated in a prime lakefront location, offering direct water access and scenic views, which are key drivers of guest appeal for STRs in Clearlake. The area is characterized by a mix of vacation homes and year-round residences, with proximity to dining, shopping, and recreational amenities. While detailed neighborhood demand signals are limited, the waterfront setting and flexible layout are likely to attract a broad range of guests, though conclusions about seasonality and competition are moderate-confidence due to limited granular data.

Underwriting notes

At a $699,000 purchase price, underwriting projects a monthly STR income of $8,909 and cash flow of $3,184, with an estimated cash-on-cash return of 27.3%. These figures are based on an estimated ADR of $505, 58% occupancy, 25% expense ratio, and 20% down payment at a 6.4% interest rate. The analysis assumes no management fee, which may not reflect all investor scenarios. The investment case is strong if these assumptions hold, but returns are sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate performance, and investors should validate local STR regulations and operational feasibility during diligence.

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Aug 7, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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