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Prospect analysisArchived

15231 N 20TH Place

Asking$589,000

Paradise Valley · Phoenix, AZ · 4 bd · 2 ba · 1,625 sq ft · Built 1978

Underwritten as a short-term rental

Active Phoenix STR with 4 bedrooms, heated pool, and strong projected cash flow at a mid-market price point.

This property is currently operating as a short-term rental and features amenities well-suited for guest appeal, including a heated pool, hot tub, and game room. Underwriting metrics indicate high-confidence projections for income and cash-on-cash returns, though performance is sensitive to occupancy and nightly rate assumptions.

Est. ADR
$375
Est. occupancy
65%
Gross rev / mo
$7,414
Cash-on-cash
26.6%

Airfolio market estimates · 20% down · detail in the underwriting panel.

Investment thesis

This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in Phoenix is positioned as a turnkey short-term rental with established guest-friendly amenities and a layout conducive to group stays. The property’s active STR status and robust amenity package—including a heated pool, hot tub, and game room—support its income potential. High-confidence underwriting projects strong cash flow and a compelling cash-on-cash return, making it attractive for investors seeking immediate STR exposure in a major Sunbelt market. The primary caveat is that returns are highly sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions, which should be validated against local STR demand and regulatory context.

Highlights

  • 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in 1,625 sqft layout
  • Active short-term rental operation
  • Heated swimming pool and hot tub
  • Converted garage game room with climate control
  • Granite countertops and stainless steel appliances
  • Large lot (9,035 sqft) with RV gate and putting green
  • Projected monthly STR income of $7,414 and cash flow of $2,613
  • Estimated 26.6% cash-on-cash return (20% down, 6.4% interest)

Risks

STR permitting: verify local ordinance and zoning allow short-term rental at this address before offering. Not verified.
STR regulations in Phoenix should be verified for ongoing compliance
Returns are sensitive to occupancy and ADR assumptions
Property age (built 1978) may require ongoing maintenance
Competition from newer or similarly amenitized STRs could impact pricing
Operational complexity with pool, hot tub, and game room amenities

Market

Phoenix remains a high-demand Sunbelt market for both leisure and business travel, supporting a robust short-term rental sector. This property’s size and amenity set position it well for group bookings, which are a key driver of STR performance in the region. The underwriting is based on high-confidence projections, but investors should remain aware of evolving STR regulations and competitive pressures in the Phoenix market.

Neighborhood

Located in a residential area of Phoenix, this property offers a private, amenity-rich experience likely to appeal to families and groups seeking a home base for local attractions. While detailed neighborhood demand signals are limited, the combination of a large lot, pool, and recreational features suggests above-average guest appeal for the area. Conclusions about guest demand are medium-confidence and should be validated with local STR performance data.

Underwriting notes

At a $589,000 purchase price, underwriting projects a monthly STR income of $7,414 and cash flow of $2,613, assuming a $375 ADR, 65% occupancy, 25% expense ratio, and 20% down at 6.4% interest. The estimated cash-on-cash return is 26.6%, reflecting strong income potential relative to capital invested. These projections are high-confidence but rely on achieving modeled occupancy and ADR; performance may vary with seasonality, competition, and regulatory changes.

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Figures are Airfolio market estimates modeled from listing, record, and market data, not investment advice · Analysis Jul 28, 2026.
Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc. · CA DRE #01527508

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Airfolio is a product of Trusty Labs, Inc., a licensed California real estate brokerage · CA DRE #01527508. Concierge introductions to agents, lenders, and property managers are referrals, and Trusty Labs may receive referral fees. Revenue and return figures are Airfolio market estimates from public records, listing data, and market modeling, not offers, appraisals, or investment advice. Verify all figures independently.
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